NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals

Volume

9.5K

24h volume

1.1K

1w volume

8.4K

Open interest

7.9K

Liquidity

1.7K

Liquidity CLOB

1.7K

Start

Mar 13, 2026

End

Mar 28, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 13, 2026

Event ID

257135

Slug

ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "257135",
  "ticker": "ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals",
  "slug": "ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals",
  "title": "NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-13T23:55:41.430234Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-13T23:55:41.430232Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-28T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals-s5thknwq6MZi.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals-s5thknwq6MZi.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 1700.7684,
  "volume": 9473.349747999999,
  "openInterest": 7857.016537,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-09T20:23:40.514255Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-24T15:32:45.586423Z",
  "competitive": 0.9476651898884124,
  "volume24hr": 1099.482104,
  "volume1wk": 8403.260627,
  "volume1mo": 9473.349748,
  "volume1yr": 9473.349748,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 1700.7684,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1542402",
      "question": "NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?",
      "conditionId": "0x900859e27a606ec5f9be1e699d1ba4cd26027e942920146ca78048b004ef33f2",
      "slug": "ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-28T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1700.7684",
      "startDate": "2026-03-13T23:55:23.353Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals-s5thknwq6MZi.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ncaa-tournament-double-digit-seed-to-make-quarterfinals-s5thknwq6MZi.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team that is seeded 10-16 advances to the Elite Eight of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or Elite Eight matchups have otherwise not been finalized within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n \nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.265\", \"0.735\"]",
      "volume": "9473.349747999999",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-09T20:23:41.407239Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-24T15:31:56.822604Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x69e3ab997d36b7277615e04110c95855540ef041e1b57b475799855f90821108",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 9473.349747999999,
      "liquidityNum": 1700.7684,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-28",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-13",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1099.482104,
      "volume1wk": 8403.260627,
      "volume1mo": 9473.349748,
      "volume1yr": 9473.349748,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"81853224698175068793236638673744666681611129051026815642290592169260239014406\", \"26918336948329102407098163389280068080382256778343420902226782196124121013606\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1099.482104,
      "volume1wkClob": 8403.260627,
      "volume1moClob": 9473.349748,
      "volume1yrClob": 9473.349748,
      "volumeClob": 9473.349747999999,
      "liquidityClob": 1700.7684,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-13T23:54:17Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9476651898884124,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "105210",
          "conditionId": "0x900859e27a606ec5f9be1e699d1ba4cd26027e942920146ca78048b004ef33f2",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-18",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.26,
      "bestBid": 0.26,
      "bestAsk": 0.27,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-13T23:53:02.50557Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "28",
      "label": "Basketball",
      "slug": "basketball",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:04:25.152+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:04:25.158Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:21.448521Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102114",
      "label": "NCAA Basketball",
      "slug": "ncaa-basketball",
      "createdAt": "2025-05-06T22:06:34.945186Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.516456Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102779",
      "label": "NCAA CBB",
      "slug": "ncaa-cbb",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-10-29T19:27:54.037759Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:02.304233Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101934",
      "label": "College Basketball",
      "slug": "college-basketball",
      "createdAt": "2025-02-28T17:38:19.727014Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:02.494635Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103036",
      "label": "NCAA tournament",
      "slug": "ncaa-tournament",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T15:51:15.754713Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:21.656549Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "1",
      "label": "Sports",
      "slug": "sports",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:22.69129Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus leans heavily against a double-digit seed reaching the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight, with \"No\" priced at 73% implied probability, reflecting the field's dominance by top-6 seeds through the first three rounds. The only remaining longshot, 11-seed NC State, advanced past 6-Michigan State and 14-Oakland on Cinderella momentum but confronts battle-hardened 2-Tennessee in the East Regional Final—a matchup favoring the Volunteers' size, depth, and elite defense amid no reported injuries tilting the scales. Historically, double-digit seeds have reached quarterfinals just five times since 1985, underscoring why traders view further upsets as improbable despite NC State's hot streak.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-24T13:52:26.722Z"
  }
}