Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will avoid arrest by March 31, driven by Israel's rejection of International Criminal Court jurisdiction despite warrants issued November 2024 for alleged war crimes in Gaza, and the absence of extradition risks as a sitting leader secure domestically. Ongoing corruption trials in Israeli courts have advanced without detention orders, with Netanyahu testifying recently amid procedural delays. High confidence stems from no scheduled travel to ICC-enforcing states like EU nations and U.S. opposition to enforcement. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected foreign travel, a sudden domestic conviction warrant, or coalition collapse prompting legal action, though evidence points to stability.",
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