North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

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    "context_description": "North Korea's recent surge of missile activity, including a March 14-16 barrage of about 10 ballistic missiles and nuclear-capable rocket launchers fired toward the Sea of Japan during US-South Korea military drills, has driven trader consensus to a 60.5% implied probability of another test by April 15. Leader Kim Jong Un personally oversaw these launches plus earlier March cruise missile tests from the new destroyer Choe Hyon, signaling sustained weapons development amid heightened regional tensions and Japan's planned participation in US missile defense initiatives. April 15 marks the Day of the Sun anniversary honoring founder Kim Il-sung, a historical flashpoint for provocative displays, though no specific announcements confirm plans, leaving room for diplomatic de-escalation or restraint.",
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