Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Ticker

nothing-ever-happens-2026

Volume

347.8K

24h volume

122

1w volume

6.4K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

23.5K

Liquidity CLOB

23.5K

Start

Jan 6, 2026

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 6, 2026

Event ID

131764

Slug

nothing-ever-happens-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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