Obama divorce before 2027?

{
  "id": "73122",
  "ticker": "obama-divorce-before-2027",
  "slug": "obama-divorce-before-2027",
  "title": "Obama divorce before 2027?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-11-05T17:46:54.443004Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-11-05T17:46:54.443001Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/obama-divorce-in-2025-uUccrdi9TRcw.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/obama-divorce-in-2025-uUccrdi9TRcw.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 6790.0117,
  "volume": 942.7956290000002,
  "openInterest": 254.266263,
  "createdAt": "2025-11-04T19:42:21.262397Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-04-01T01:46:03.540466Z",
  "competitive": 0.856091088091773,
  "volume24hr": 40.947825,
  "volume1wk": 253.89309299999996,
  "volume1mo": 369.879758,
  "volume1yr": 942.795629,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 6790.0117,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "665362",
      "question": "Obama divorce before 2027?",
      "conditionId": "0x38b1d6bd79d7ac4f4af70dfdc22697a718ae2eb6a9e163ca0b66840791b260a2",
      "slug": "obama-divorce-before-2027",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "6790.8117",
      "startDate": "2025-11-05T17:46:17.019Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/obama-divorce-in-2025-uUccrdi9TRcw.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/obama-divorce-in-2025-uUccrdi9TRcw.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.\n\nThe resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.095\", \"0.905\"]",
      "volume": "942.7956290000002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-04T19:42:21.938176Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-01T01:48:02.867338Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x99eedcf4d6571897831e3a9cc54d7682cd7354c29326dc09dcd218e9f207bdea",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 942.7956290000002,
      "liquidityNum": 6790.8117,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-05",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 40.947825,
      "volume1wk": 253.89309299999996,
      "volume1mo": 369.879758,
      "volume1yr": 942.795629,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"44063303868429221225588045924522977894154982539636220472819290361333994729054\", \"61801941511025518263072695884468590923523412893791597273989066224932248868777\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 40.947825,
      "volume1wkClob": 253.89309299999996,
      "volume1moClob": 369.879758,
      "volume1yrClob": 942.795629,
      "volumeClob": 942.7956290000002,
      "liquidityClob": 6790.8117,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-05T17:45:55Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8590880780051975,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "102972",
          "conditionId": "0x38b1d6bd79d7ac4f4af70dfdc22697a718ae2eb6a9e163ca0b66840791b260a2",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-15",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.03,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.045,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.02,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.035,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.08,
      "bestBid": 0.08,
      "bestAsk": 0.11,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-05T17:45:26.288172Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "series": [
    {
      "id": "10536",
      "ticker": "obama-divorce",
      "slug": "obama-divorce",
      "title": "Obama Divorce",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "annual",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "featured": false,
      "restricted": true,
      "createdAt": "2025-11-05T19:45:44.875912Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-01T01:46:22.033272Z",
      "volume24hr": 40.947825,
      "volume": 942.7956290000002,
      "liquidity": 6790.0117,
      "commentCount": 14,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100293",
      "label": "obama",
      "slug": "obama",
      "createdAt": "2024-07-08T01:15:03.852322Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:31:24.328847Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "596",
      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "286",
      "label": "Celebrities",
      "slug": "celebrities",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:48.368+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:48.383Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:41.363303Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "seriesSlug": "obama-divorce",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus reflects a 91% implied probability that Barack and Michelle Obama, married since 1992, will not divorce before 2027, driven by their repeated public affirmations amid persistent tabloid rumors. In July 2025, the couple directly addressed speculation on Michelle's \"IMO\" podcast, joking about past marital strains while emphasizing their enduring bond, following earlier 2025 gossip over separate public appearances and unverified affair claims. More recently, in March 2026 interviews, Michelle described navigating a positive \"new phase\" as empty nesters after 33 years together, crediting ongoing couples therapy and mutual effort for their strengthened relationship. Absent any official filings, legal actions, or credible separations, traders view rumors as unsubstantiated, though late scandals or health events could shift odds before year-end.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-31T22:56:19.499Z"
  }
}