Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

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    "context_description": "Pete Hegseth remains firmly entrenched as Secretary of Defense, with traders reflecting near-certain consensus at 95% against his departure by April 30 amid his aggressive reshaping of Pentagon leadership. On April 2, Hegseth forced Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George to retire immediately—effective during the ongoing U.S. war with Iran—marking the latest in a series of high-profile removals, including generals David Hodne and William Green, signaling strong presidential backing and operational control over the chain of command. No public statements, congressional actions, or White House signals indicate resignation, withdrawal, or firing, despite past criticisms over promotion interventions. Realistic shifts could stem from war escalations, military setbacks, scandals, or Senate pressure, though historical patterns favor stability for aligned cabinet secretaries.",
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