
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30
Volume
10.3K
24h volume
1.8K
1w volume
7.0K
Open interest
7.6K
Liquidity
12.4K
Liquidity CLOB
12.4K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Event ID
304330
Slug
pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30
Markets
1
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense by a narrow 51-50 Senate vote on January 24, 2025—with Vice President Vance casting the tiebreaker—remains firmly entrenched in the role, driving trader consensus at 85% against his departure by June 30. Recent actions, including yesterday's request for Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George to step down and retire amid U.S. military operations against Iran, signal Hegseth's assertive leadership and control over senior Pentagon personnel. Democratic senators, led by Elizabeth Warren, launched a probe two days ago into reports of his broker's attempted defense stock purchases ahead of the conflict, alleging potential insider trading, but no Republican calls for resignation have emerged, and historical patterns favor incumbents weathering partisan inquiries absent bipartisan pressure.",
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}- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Vol 10.3KLiq 12.4KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book