Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30

Volume

10.3K

24h volume

1.8K

1w volume

7.0K

Open interest

7.6K

Liquidity

12.4K

Liquidity CLOB

12.4K

Start

Mar 24, 2026

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 24, 2026

Event ID

304330

Slug

pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-june-30

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?",
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    "context_description": "Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense by a narrow 51-50 Senate vote on January 24, 2025—with Vice President Vance casting the tiebreaker—remains firmly entrenched in the role, driving trader consensus at 85% against his departure by June 30. Recent actions, including yesterday's request for Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George to step down and retire amid U.S. military operations against Iran, signal Hegseth's assertive leadership and control over senior Pentagon personnel. Democratic senators, led by Elizabeth Warren, launched a probe two days ago into reports of his broker's attempted defense stock purchases ahead of the conflict, alleging potential insider trading, but no Republican calls for resignation have emerged, and historical patterns favor incumbents weathering partisan inquiries absent bipartisan pressure.",
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