Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors \"Up\" for tech layoffs in 2026 at 80.5% implied probability, driven by a surging Q1 pace exceeding 60,000 job cuts across over 200 companies—already outpacing early 2025 figures by 50% or more per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp. Recent March announcements from Meta, Atlassian (1,600 cuts, 10% of workforce), Epic Games (1,000+), Dell, and eBay underscore ongoing restructuring for AI efficiencies, automation, and cost optimization amid softening demand. With 20% of cuts explicitly tied to AI tools, firms prioritize machine learning investments over headcount. Q1 earnings calls and further AI capability rollouts loom as catalysts, though economic rebound could temper the trajectory later in the year.",
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