Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on February 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 27, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Ticker

trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-596

Volume

9.8K

24h volume

1.1K

1w volume

9.0K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

4.3K

Liquidity CLOB

4.3K

Start

Feb 27, 2026

End

Mar 7, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 27, 2026

Event ID

234723

Slug

trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-596

Markets

1

Raw event data
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