Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

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    "context_description": "Félix Tshisekedi's solid re-election in December 2023 with over 70% of the vote, securing his second five-year term until 2028, anchors the strong trader consensus against his removal by end-2026. Official inauguration in January 2024 and constitutional protections limit paths to early ouster, such as impeachment or snap elections, amid fragmented opposition challenges dismissed by courts. Persistent eastern DRC instability with M23 rebels draws focus to security policy rather than regime change, with no credible coup risks or resignations reported recently. Upcoming 2025 legislative developments may test alliances, but current evidence supports market-implied stability at 89% probability of continuity.",
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