
UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Antonio Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Mantas Kondratavicius" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Ticker
ufc-ant6-man18-2026-03-21
Volume
927
24h volume
326
1w volume
927
Open interest
0
Liquidity
2.7K
Liquidity CLOB
2.7K
Start
Mar 5, 2026
End
Mar 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 5, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Event ID
248625
Slug
ufc-ant6-man18-2026-03-21
Markets
9
Raw event data
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"slug": "ufc-ant6-man18-2026-03-21",
"title": "UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Antonio Trocoli\" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Mantas Kondratavicius\" if Mantas Kondratavicius is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.",
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"active": true,
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"volume": 926.8576850000001,
"openInterest": 0,
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"description": "Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\n“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.",
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{
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"question": "Fight to Go the Distance?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Antonio Trocoli and Mantas Kondratavicius at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\" \n\nDraws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve \"Yes.\" Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.275\", \"0.725\"]",
"active": true,
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"context_description": "Antonio Trocoli enters as the clear trader favorite at implied probabilities around 75% due to his perfect 12-0 record and dominant DWCS contract-winning performance, showcasing sharp striking and grappling control against a more experienced but 15-5 Mantas Kondratavicius. Both middleweights made weight cleanly at Friday's UFC Fight Night 244 weigh-ins in Las Vegas with no reported injuries or lineup changes, preserving the status quo. Kondratavicius brings higher fight volume and resilience from Contender Series bouts, but Trocoli's youth, finishing rate (92%), and momentum from recent knockouts fuel the market lean. Apex environment favors technical wrestlers, adding upset potential if Kondratavicius pressures early.",
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}- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Vol —Liq 57End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Mantas Kondratavicius win by KO or TKO?Vol —Liq 52End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 0.5 RoundsVol —Liq 126End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the fight be won by submission?Vol —Liq 39End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Antonio Trocoli win by KO or TKO?Vol —Liq 44End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 2.5 RoundsVol —Liq 140End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 1.5 RoundsVol —Liq 140End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fight to Go the Distance?Vol —Liq 59End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- UFC Fight Night: Antonio Trocoli vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Prelims)Vol 927Liq 2.0KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book