
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Felipe Franco" if Felipe Franco is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Ticker
ufc-mar86-fel11-2026-03-21
Volume
10.4K
24h volume
5.2K
1w volume
9.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
18.4K
Liquidity CLOB
18.4K
Start
Mar 5, 2026
End
Mar 22, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 5, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Event ID
248629
Slug
ufc-mar86-fel11-2026-03-21
Markets
9
Raw event data
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"slug": "ufc-mar86-fel11-2026-03-21",
"title": "UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)",
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"resolutionSource": "https://www.ufc.com/events",
"startDate": "2026-03-05T22:26:14.257947Z",
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"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 18376.0721,
"volume": 10359.296249000005,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-03-05T22:01:39.098956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-21T08:29:00.841362Z",
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"description": "Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Mario Pinto and Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nEach market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Mario Pinto and Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.\n\nFor example:\n\n“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\n“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.\n\nIf the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”\n\nIf the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.815\", \"0.185\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
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"createdAt": "2026-03-05T22:01:43.347379Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ufc-logo-37bbbd28e6.png",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the fight between Mario Pinto and Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve \"No.\"\n\nIf the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.245\", \"0.755\"]",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus in the Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco heavyweight prelim heavily favors Pinto at implied probabilities around 70-75%, driven by his undefeated streak and superior striking volume from recent Contender Series wins, contrasting Franco's submission-heavy style marred by a two-fight skid. No major injury reports or weight-cut issues have surfaced from official UFC updates, keeping the line stable amid quiet camp news. Pinto's takedown defense (85%+) could neutralize Franco's grappling edge, while Franco's knockout power poses upset risk if he closes distance early. Momentum tilts to Pinto's youth and cardio for a decision win, though heavyweights often deliver chaos on short notice. Watch for Friday weigh-ins.",
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}- UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)Vol 10.0KLiq 9.7KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 0.5 RoundsVol —Liq 709End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Mario Pinto win by KO or TKO?Vol 61Liq 2.5KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Vol —Liq 553End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 1.5 RoundsVol 253Liq 1.4KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- O/U 2.5 RoundsVol —Liq 729End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the fight be won by submission?Vol —Liq 671End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fight to Go the Distance?Vol —Liq 1.3KEnd Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Felipe Franco win by KO or TKO?Vol 12Liq 812End Mar 22, 2026OpenOrder book