Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus at 99.8% \"No\" reflects the absence of any public announcement or diplomatic breakthrough forcing Ukraine to renounce NATO membership aspirations by March 31, 2026. Peace talks with Russia stalled since mid-March amid the Iran conflict, with Moscow demanding permanent neutrality but Kyiv prioritizing bilateral security guarantees from NATO allies over formal commitments. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated last week that Ukraine's accession is not a current priority, underscoring de-emphasis on membership without explicit rejection. While a last-minute Zelenskyy statement or surprise negotiation could theoretically trigger resolution to \"Yes,\" historical patterns in protracted diplomacy and the tight timeline render such scenarios implausible to traders.",
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