
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following: 1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework. 2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials. 3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework. The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Ticker
ukraine-officially-agrees-to-a-us-backed-ceasefire-framework-in-2025
Volume
1.4M
24h volume
629
1w volume
468.8K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
20.1K
Liquidity CLOB
20.1K
Start
Nov 27, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 27, 2025
Event ID
91444
Slug
ukraine-officially-agrees-to-a-us-backed-ceasefire-framework-in-2025
Markets
5
Raw event data
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}- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Vol 5.2KLiq 4.7KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Vol 138.4KLiq 10.4KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?Vol 27.7KLiq 4.9KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Vol 710.8KLiq —End Dec 31, 2025Closed
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Vol 493.7KLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed