U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?

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    "context_description": "Absence of any official resignation, dismissal, or nominee announcement for U.S. Ambassador to Poland Mark Brzezinski drives the near-unanimous trader consensus at 98.4% against his departure by March 31. Brzezinski, a Biden appointee, has shown no public signals of stepping down amid the presidential transition, and the incoming Trump administration has not named a replacement despite prioritizing key diplomatic posts. Standard protocol sees political ambassadors offer resignations post-inauguration on January 20, but Senate confirmation for successors typically spans weeks or months, leaving little realistic window for change before quarter's end. High confidence reflects this timeline constraint and lack of credible rumors, though abrupt resignation or recess appointment could still shift outcomes.",
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