US announces military support of Iran oppostion by March 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms that the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Iranian opposition groups by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. “Iranian opposition groups” refers to organized political, paramilitary, insurgent, or resistance groups that publicly oppose the current government of the Islamic Republic of Iran and seek to alter, replace, or overthrow it. This includes groups operating inside or outside Iran that claim to represent opposition to the current governing authorities. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

us-announces-military-support-of-iran-oppostion-by-march-31

Volume

95.3K

24h volume

28.1K

1w volume

95.3K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

10.4K

Liquidity CLOB

10.4K

Start

Mar 3, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 3, 2026

Event ID

244329

Slug

us-announces-military-support-of-iran-oppostion-by-march-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "US announces military support of Iran oppostion by March 31?",
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