
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28
Volume
151.9K
24h volume
79.8K
1w volume
100.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
—
Start
Feb 6, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 6, 2026
Event ID
198546
Slug
us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "198546",
"ticker": "us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28",
"slug": "us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28",
"title": "US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-02-06T23:19:56.922636Z",
"creationDate": "2026-02-06T23:19:56.922632Z",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28-3-Ab4553Ezgo.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28-3-Ab4553Ezgo.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"volume": 151889.974418,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-02-04T16:47:24.312386Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-01T08:49:55.23581Z",
"volume24hr": 79799.06523799998,
"volume1wk": 100150.96179899997,
"volume1mo": 151889.974418,
"volume1yr": 151889.974418,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"commentCount": 64,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1334173",
"question": "US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?",
"conditionId": "0x6d4e73561863c77464933d6c73f50b4bf191fcd47f5e937fc869dbda0f401b58",
"slug": "us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-02-28T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-02-06T23:19:37.802428Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28-3-Ab4553Ezgo.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-downs-another-iranian-drone-by-february-28-3-Ab4553Ezgo.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"1\", \"0\"]",
"volume": "151889.974418",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-04T16:47:25.433914Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-01T08:49:42.071176Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-01 07:56:45+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x57f49f7ae2c417b945589b883c07c1c7489413a0e7832265375ed602681480b3",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-01T07:56:45Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 151889.974418,
"endDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-06",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 79799.06523799998,
"volume1wk": 100150.96179899997,
"volume1mo": 151889.974418,
"volume1yr": 151889.974418,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"59026135460703415850793353120953870925423864435910405292352496487640408091218\", \"103570454250028222404849129951602743863334801320757871004520837336642164530023\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 79799.06523799998,
"volume1wkClob": 100150.96179899997,
"volume1moClob": 151889.974418,
"volume1yrClob": 151889.974418,
"volumeClob": 151889.974418,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-06T23:18:33Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "73908",
"conditionId": "0x6d4e73561863c77464933d6c73f50b4bf191fcd47f5e937fc869dbda0f401b58",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-02-06",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.04,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.26,
"lastTradePrice": 0.999,
"bestBid": 0.999,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-06T23:06:30.79411Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "103632",
"label": "shoot down",
"slug": "shoot-down",
"createdAt": "2026-02-04T16:47:25.053192Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:19:20.841985Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102304",
"label": "Khamenei",
"slug": "khamenei",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-06-23T18:41:15.452041Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:20:50.950697Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.176417Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "103631",
"label": "shoots down",
"slug": "shoots-down",
"createdAt": "2026-02-04T16:47:24.971378Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:19:20.823164Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"closedTime": "2026-03-01T07:56:45Z",
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Vol 151.9KLiq —End Feb 28, 2026Closed