
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem, Israel, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Ticker
us-evacuates-jerusalem-embassy-by-march-31
Volume
9.6K
24h volume
2.0K
1w volume
8.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
4.1K
Liquidity CLOB
4.1K
Start
Feb 20, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 20, 2026
Event ID
218027
Slug
us-evacuates-jerusalem-embassy-by-march-31
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "218027",
"ticker": "us-evacuates-jerusalem-embassy-by-march-31",
"slug": "us-evacuates-jerusalem-embassy-by-march-31",
"title": "U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem, Israel, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.\n\nAnnouncements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-02-20T21:36:41.194365Z",
"creationDate": "2026-02-20T21:36:41.194359Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-in-2024-XRY1mrwgG-zZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-in-2024-XRY1mrwgG-zZ.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 4143.63351,
"volume": 9583.453382,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-02-20T01:08:29.113659Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-03T15:58:10.14428Z",
"competitive": 0.910512757535688,
"volume24hr": 1983.518136,
"volume1wk": 8672.720673000003,
"volume1mo": 9275.644548000004,
"volume1yr": 9275.644548000004,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 4143.63351,
"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1400379",
"question": "U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0xcb24cf9df2259a36151115ba5ad777c11a88e12330ec87a7d59db63b98c40d2b",
"slug": "us-evacuates-jerusalem-embassy-by-march-31",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "3696.43492",
"startDate": "2026-02-20T21:34:22.397033Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-in-2024-XRY1mrwgG-zZ.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-evacuates-beirut-embassy-in-2024-XRY1mrwgG-zZ.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Jerusalem, Israel, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.\n\nAnnouncements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.1725\", \"0.8275\"]",
"volume": "9583.453382",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-20T01:08:30.151694Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-03T16:03:32.410631Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x9ad2296f25f3cf0052d2d136e4d995e1898ae34d35a2d885526a4e010b7e7f4f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 9583.453382,
"liquidityNum": 3696.43492,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-20",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1983.518136,
"volume1wk": 8672.720673000003,
"volume1mo": 9275.644548000004,
"volume1yr": 9275.644548000004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"14747111857094222319207545185227202112598560598452753854019544631479381622718\", \"104568781964424140675168496358401246475532249999171336822464315629185203878615\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1983.518136,
"volume1wkClob": 8672.720673000003,
"volume1moClob": 9275.644548000004,
"volume1yrClob": 9275.644548000004,
"volumeClob": 9583.453382,
"liquidityClob": 3696.43492,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-20T21:33:16Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9031333081208618,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "91399",
"conditionId": "0xcb24cf9df2259a36151115ba5ad777c11a88e12330ec87a7d59db63b98c40d2b",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-03-03",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 100,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.045,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.025,
"lastTradePrice": 0.163,
"bestBid": 0.15,
"bestAsk": 0.195,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-20T21:32:01.191428Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "180",
"label": "Israel",
"slug": "israel",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-03T04:00:00.39534Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "126",
"label": "Trump",
"slug": "trump",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:05:42.017208Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.176417Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104009",
"label": "Regional Spillover",
"slug": "regional-spillover",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:56:34.326195Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-02T20:00:04.785317Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104039",
"label": "U.S. x Iran",
"slug": "trump-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T20:09:15.156731Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-02T21:00:02.304058Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?Vol 9.6KLiq 3.7KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book