US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

{
  "id": "257075",
  "ticker": "us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel",
  "slug": "us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel",
  "title": "US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-09T21:25:45.052574Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-09T21:25:45.052571Z",
  "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-diaz-canel-cuban-president-charged-in-the-us-Ai5PHSHl8E8D.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-diaz-canel-cuban-president-charged-in-the-us-Ai5PHSHl8E8D.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 6322.8562,
  "volume": 9286.190254000003,
  "openInterest": 6341.39274,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-09T19:47:40.181848Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-23T22:12:28.041639Z",
  "competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
  "volume24hr": 3254.202157,
  "volume1wk": 4294.903434000001,
  "volume1mo": 9286.190254,
  "volume1yr": 9286.190254,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 6322.8562,
  "commentCount": 0,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1542029",
      "question": "US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?",
      "conditionId": "0x32c4ee69bd0d9b4d4512af6abd49e0de43108d4cb41077cd1142010e2ed567aa",
      "slug": "us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "6350.4479",
      "startDate": "2026-03-09T21:24:07.445389Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-diaz-canel-cuban-president-charged-in-the-us-Ai5PHSHl8E8D.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/miguel-diaz-canel-cuban-president-charged-in-the-us-Ai5PHSHl8E8D.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.285\", \"0.715\"]",
      "volume": "9286.190254000003",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-09T19:47:41.208272Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-23T22:09:01.819454Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xa94b5328327d2d4be151dbc5f7a21f562066daeac5e3df040b94de206de715b4",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 9286.190254000003,
      "liquidityNum": 6350.4479,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-09",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 3254.202157,
      "volume1wk": 4294.903434000001,
      "volume1mo": 9286.190254,
      "volume1yr": 9286.190254,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"94770130665620918038449925633097512536144644004538118932101117093826498248086\", \"15354337363229392381425217366705881431208974247741879220302999466323702700154\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 3254.202157,
      "volume1wkClob": 4294.903434000001,
      "volume1moClob": 9286.190254,
      "volume1yrClob": 9286.190254,
      "volumeClob": 9286.190254000003,
      "liquidityClob": 6350.4479,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-09T21:23:01Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9558173433056943,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "99195",
          "conditionId": "0x32c4ee69bd0d9b4d4512af6abd49e0de43108d4cb41077cd1142010e2ed567aa",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 3,
          "startDate": "2026-03-10",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.01,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.29,
      "bestBid": 0.28,
      "bestAsk": 0.29,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-09T21:03:13.417549Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "246",
      "label": "Venezuela",
      "slug": "venezuela",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:43:20.341+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:43:20.356Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.386838Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102886",
      "label": "President",
      "slug": "president",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-19T22:50:55.953145Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:46.861746Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102868",
      "label": "Cuba",
      "slug": "cuba",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-11-18T16:46:56.92821Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-12T15:58:00.346258Z",
      "isCarousel": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104137",
      "label": "president of cuba",
      "slug": "president-of-cuba",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-09T19:47:40.591599Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:43.30294Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103227",
      "label": "indict",
      "slug": "indict",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-22T17:15:39.645763Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:22.271769Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:29:03.520452Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "104142",
      "label": "communism",
      "slug": "communism",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-09T20:14:38.338686Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.531028Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Lack of any official US Department of Justice announcements or credible reports pursuing federal charges against Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel anchors trader consensus at 71% \"No,\" reflecting the low likelihood absent major provocation. While US sanctions target Cuban officials and entities over human rights abuses and protest crackdowns, indicting a sitting foreign head of state remains extraordinary under diplomatic norms, with no recent momentum from Washington. Recent US-Cuba developments, including migration talks and maintained Trump-era restrictions under Biden, show tensions but prioritize policy pressure over personal prosecutions, justifying traders' skepticism amid zero evidence of indictments.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-23T21:35:38.093Z"
  }
}