
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Somalia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land in the listed country’s territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and government sources. This market may remain open until the end of the third day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
us-strike-on-somalia-by-march-7
Volume
10.1K
24h volume
8.1K
1w volume
9.0K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
7.3K
Liquidity CLOB
7.3K
Start
Feb 27, 2026
End
Mar 7, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 27, 2026
Event ID
234672
Slug
us-strike-on-somalia-by-march-7
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?Vol 10.1KLiq 7.4KEnd Mar 7, 2026OpenOrder book