
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iraqi soil or any official Iraqi embassy or consulate by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iraqi ground territory or any official Iraqi embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iraqi soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iraqi territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
us-strikes-iraq-by-february-28
Volume
284.4K
24h volume
30.9K
1w volume
173.8K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
27.7K
Liquidity CLOB
27.7K
Start
Feb 3, 2026
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 3, 2026
Event ID
197085
Slug
us-strikes-iraq-by-february-28
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- US strikes Iraq by February 28?Vol 284.4KLiq 27.7KEnd Feb 28, 2026OpenOrder book