
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31
Volume
232.6K
24h volume
43.1K
1w volume
232.6K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
24.4K
Liquidity CLOB
24.4K
Start
Feb 28, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 28, 2026
Event ID
237938
Slug
usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31
Markets
2
Raw event data
{
"id": "237938",
"ticker": "usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31",
"title": "US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nU.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T23:49:35.337454Z",
"creationDate": "2026-02-28T23:49:35.337451Z",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-_-5IWyYZ4Dah.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-_-5IWyYZ4Dah.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 24360.7749,
"volume": 232623.8263230001,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T23:45:32.933006Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-07T12:49:18.248037Z",
"competitive": 0.998402555910543,
"volume24hr": 43140.81348,
"volume1wk": 232623.82632300007,
"volume1mo": 232623.82632300007,
"volume1yr": 232623.82632300007,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 24360.7749,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 74,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1471457",
"question": "US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?",
"conditionId": "0xbeb97cb6d42528a620b66e829b00d6d9e609a34665c109b5c95d581f21b5392f",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-388",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "18628.1531",
"startDate": "2026-02-28T23:48:26.579Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-_-5IWyYZ4Dah.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-_-5IWyYZ4Dah.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nU.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.54\", \"0.46\"]",
"volume": "227188.5749340001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-28T23:45:33.974482Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-07T12:48:44.778428Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 31",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x3cf9e8b834db6f85184b2db9302f85802df8c44859cd32921d3b0f27616b9cc3",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 227188.5749340001,
"liquidityNum": 18628.1531,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-28",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 37705.56209099999,
"volume1wk": 227188.57493400006,
"volume1mo": 227188.57493400006,
"volume1yr": 227188.57493400006,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"68671366615449911083206544634122659980182050807847635039820242738577392906636\", \"15383684067596502149123204844216805492228844396215325931845777976929865529565\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 37705.56209099999,
"volume1wkClob": 227188.57493400006,
"volume1moClob": 227188.57493400006,
"volume1yrClob": 227188.57493400006,
"volumeClob": 227188.5749340001,
"liquidityClob": 18628.1531,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-28T23:47:21Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.998402555910543,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "89252",
"conditionId": "0xbeb97cb6d42528a620b66e829b00d6d9e609a34665c109b5c95d581f21b5392f",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 30,
"startDate": "2026-03-01",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 5.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"lastTradePrice": 0.56,
"bestBid": 0.53,
"bestAsk": 0.55,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-28T23:46:10.385853Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1517522",
"question": "US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?",
"conditionId": "0x2de69f043bbef4e0340eb7e1a08d59ae8cc6e33b938e827104e07b97df0ff992",
"slug": "usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-15",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "5732.6218",
"startDate": "2026-03-06T21:26:18.728311Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-_-5IWyYZ4Dah.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usisrael-strike-on-fordow-nuclear-facility-by-march-31-_-5IWyYZ4Dah.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nU.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.435\", \"0.565\"]",
"volume": "5435.251389000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-06T20:17:41.882113Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-07T12:48:50.552271Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March 15",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xce8ed799c68898d928d797ccc981cd668726335d18d4bf7fb2d2e5e402cc1a6d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 5435.251389000001,
"liquidityNum": 5732.6218,
"endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-06",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 5435.251389,
"volume1wk": 5435.251389,
"volume1mo": 5435.251389,
"volume1yr": 5435.251389,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"84854433506188883481685294804011414635539235371615164993354747120391912042528\", \"61941239395980210723764861726261152348302721729002725390026778537700237072751\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 5435.251389,
"volume1wkClob": 5435.251389,
"volume1moClob": 5435.251389,
"volume1yrClob": 5435.251389,
"volumeClob": 5435.251389000001,
"liquidityClob": 5732.6218,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-06T21:25:13Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9957927755234136,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.11,
"lastTradePrice": 0.55,
"bestBid": 0.38,
"bestAsk": 0.49,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-06T21:23:59.248582Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "100265",
"label": "Geopolitics",
"slug": "geopolitics",
"forceShow": true,
"createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101970",
"label": "World",
"slug": "world",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:04:41.800728Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "78",
"label": "Iran",
"slug": "iran",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:51.647+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:51.667Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.176417Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104007",
"label": "Military Strikes",
"slug": "military-strikes",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-02T19:51:19.151214Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-02T19:55:05.714572Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1289",
"label": "Nuclear",
"slug": "nuclear",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-07 22:16:09.803+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-07T22:16:09.819Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-03T01:00:03.048037Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "104064",
"label": "Israel x Iran",
"slug": "israel-x-iran",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2026-03-03T03:22:41.390984Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-03T03:25:04.763169Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}- US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Vol 227.2KLiq 18.6KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Vol 5.4KLiq 5.7KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book