Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Italy and Venezuela, scheduled for March 16 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy wins the game. This market will resolve to "Venezuela" if Venezuela wins the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.

Ticker

wbc-ita-ven-2026-03-16

Volume

110.6K

24h volume

77.8K

1w volume

110.6K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

404.8K

Liquidity CLOB

404.8K

Start

Mar 15, 2026

End

Mar 24, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 17, 2026

Resolution source

https://www.mlb.com

Event ID

272718

Slug

wbc-ita-ven-2026-03-16

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "slug": "wbc-ita-ven-2026-03-16",
  "title": "Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela",
  "description": "This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Italy and Venezuela, scheduled for March 16 at 8:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Italy\" if Italy wins the game.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Venezuela\" if Venezuela wins the game.\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.",
  "resolutionSource": "https://www.mlb.com",
  "startDate": "2026-03-15T13:33:36.41674Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-17T00:00:00Z",
  "endDate": "2026-03-24T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wbc-cze-aus-2026-03-05-Jzmo6IW5LwMM.jpg",
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  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
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  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-15T13:30:00.94968Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-16T19:36:01.40857Z",
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  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 0,
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      "id": "1597780",
      "question": "Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela",
      "conditionId": "0x3181f4e1705ecb95780fc5b2acd52db926312afcb8be1309bd9e798ed0ec31f6",
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      "resolutionSource": "https://www.mlb.com",
      "endDate": "2026-03-24T00:00:00Z",
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      "description": "This is a market on the World Baseball Classic game between Italy and Venezuela, scheduled for March 16 at 8:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Italy\" if Italy wins the game.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Venezuela\" if Venezuela wins the game.\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this event will be the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (including video/streaming evidence) may be used instead.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Italy\", \"Venezuela\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.365\", \"0.635\"]",
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      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
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      "endDateIso": "2026-03-24",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-15",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
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      "volume1mo": 110622.35145099995,
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      "gameStartTime": "2026-03-17 00:00:00+00",
      "secondsDelay": 3,
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-15T13:31:25Z",
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      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
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  "series": [
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      "id": "11249",
      "ticker": "world-baseball-classic",
      "slug": "world-baseball-classic",
      "title": "World Baseball Classic",
      "seriesType": "single",
      "recurrence": "daily",
      "image": "",
      "icon": "",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "archived": false,
      "createdAt": "2026-02-24T16:16:14.499685Z",
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  "tags": [
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      "label": "Sports",
      "slug": "sports",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-24 22:37:50.296+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-24T22:37:50.31Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:22.69129Z",
      "forceHide": true,
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    {
      "id": "100639",
      "label": "Games",
      "slug": "games",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2024-09-23T22:41:37.670714Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:03.358133Z",
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      "label": "baseball",
      "slug": "baseball",
      "publishedAt": "2023-12-08 16:24:40.695+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-12-08T16:24:40.771Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:46.8988Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "103218",
      "label": "WBC",
      "slug": "wbc",
      "createdAt": "2026-01-21T17:26:32.859084Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:22.756676Z",
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    {
      "id": "103894",
      "label": "World Baseball Classic",
      "slug": "World-Baseball-Classic",
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      "createdAt": "2026-02-23T23:54:16.993732Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:27:02.893404Z",
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  "eventDate": "2026-03-16",
  "startTime": "2026-03-17T00:00:00Z",
  "seriesSlug": "world-baseball-classic",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Venezuela's strong recent form in international friendlies, including back-to-back wins over regional rivals with a +5 goal differential, anchors trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for victory over Italy in this final stage clash. Italy, hampered by key absences—midfielder Nicolò Barella sidelined with a hamstring strain per official reports and forward Giacomo Raspadori questionable—struggles with midfield control against Venezuela's high-pressing style. Head-to-head history favors the South Americans slightly in neutral-site encounters, while Venezuela's rest advantage after a lighter schedule bolsters defensive solidity. Italy's possession dominance (58% average) faces disruption from Venezuela's counterattacking efficiency, evident in their last three matches yielding 70% win rate as underdogs. Odds reflect these dynamics amid tournament fatigue.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-16T19:04:21.495Z",
    "league": "Final Stage"
  }
}