Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus strongly favors no U.S. hurricane landfall by May 31, with \"No\" at 93.6% implied probability, driven by the climatological rarity of such early-season events and current quiet Atlantic conditions. The National Hurricane Center reports no active tropical cyclones, and forecast models like the GFS and ECMWF show minimal development potential through month's end due to unfavorable wind shear, below-peak sea surface temperatures, and dry mid-level air across the basin. Historically, no major hurricane has struck the continental U.S. before June 1 in over 60 years, with only a handful of weaker systems. While an unforeseen rapid intensification in the Gulf of Mexico could challenge this—such as a low-pressure system organizing quickly—upcoming NHC advisories over the next week will provide critical updates on any nascent disturbances.",
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