Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus prices a 55.5% chance of a Canadian province scheduling an independence referendum before 2027, driven primarily by Quebec's Parti Québécois (PQ) pledging such a vote if it wins the October 2026 provincial election, amid recent polls showing the party rising to around 30% support while Premier Legault's CAQ faces backlash over federal immigration caps and economic pressures. Alberta adds fuel through separatist petitions gaining over 10,000 signatures since September 2024 and Premier Smith's Sovereignty Within a United Canada Act invoking provincial pushback against federal policies like carbon taxes. No official scheduling has occurred, but escalating federal-provincial tensions sustain elevated odds, with Quebec's election as the key near-term catalyst.",
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