
Will a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The next Olympics are scheduled to be held in Milan–Cortina from February 6 to 22, 2026. Recent reporting indicates the IOC is considering a ban on transgender women athletes competing in the female category. You can read more about that here: https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2025/nov/10/ioc-edges-closer-to-ban-on-transgender-women-in-female-olympic-events. This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that at least one transgender woman athlete is competing in any female category event at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games by February 22, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, 'transgender women athlete' refers to an athlete assigned male at birth who identifies as female. This definition excludes intersex athletes (including those with differences in sex development) whose variations in sex characteristics do not involve a gender identity different from their assigned sex at birth, unless the athlete publicly identifies as transgender and this is widely and credibly confirmed. Speculation, rumor, or unverified discussion suggesting that an athlete might be transgender will not suffice. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-a-transgender-women-athlete-compete-at-the-2026-winter-games
Volume
9.7K
24h volume
10
1w volume
990
Open interest
0
Liquidity
1.5K
Liquidity CLOB
1.5K
Start
Nov 14, 2025
End
Feb 5, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 14, 2025
Event ID
79111
Slug
will-a-transgender-women-athlete-compete-at-the-2026-winter-games
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- Will a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?Vol 9.7KLiq 1.5KEnd Feb 5, 2026OpenOrder book