
Will another country strike Iran by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “strike” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile or drone launched by such a country, this market will resolve to “Yes”). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground forces of countries other than Israel or the United States will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
will-another-country-strike-iran-by-march-31
Volume
1.1M
24h volume
371.1K
1w volume
1.1M
Open interest
0
Liquidity
81.3K
Liquidity CLOB
81.3K
Start
Mar 1, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 1, 2026
Event ID
238099
Slug
will-another-country-strike-iran-by-march-31
Markets
2
Raw event data
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}- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Vol 952.8KLiq 65.4KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Vol 189.4KLiq 15.1KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book