
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
Ticker
will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027
Volume
91.9K
24h volume
851
1w volume
8.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
11.1K
Liquidity CLOB
11.1K
Start
Dec 31, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 31, 2025
Event ID
135020
Slug
will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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