Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.

Ticker

will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027

Volume

91.9K

24h volume

851

1w volume

8.1K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

11.1K

Liquidity CLOB

11.1K

Start

Dec 31, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 31, 2025

Event ID

135020

Slug

will-any-category-5-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-in-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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