Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned European country by the respective government between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a European country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-any-european-country-expel-a-us-ambassador-by-march-31

Volume

10.0K

24h volume

1.5K

1w volume

10.0K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

15.6K

Liquidity CLOB

15.6K

Start

Mar 10, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 10, 2026

Event ID

257654

Slug

will-any-european-country-expel-a-us-ambassador-by-march-31

Markets

1

Tags

IranU.S. x IranIsrael x IranGeopoliticsIsraelMiddle EastPoliticsDiplomacy & Ceasefire
Raw event data
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  "title": "Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?",
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