
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027
Volume
95.7K
24h volume
12.7K
1w volume
36.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
19.4K
Liquidity CLOB
19.4K
Start
Dec 12, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 12, 2025
Event ID
103468
Slug
will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
{
"id": "103468",
"ticker": "will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027",
"slug": "will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027",
"title": "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.\n\nA qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-12-12T18:36:04.74647Z",
"creationDate": "2025-12-12T18:36:04.746468Z",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-in-2025-CLPiPg-n08y-.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-in-2025-CLPiPg-n08y-.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 19392.6571,
"volume": 95661.03278999978,
"openInterest": 0,
"createdAt": "2025-12-12T16:43:13.60053Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-22T17:34:18.976965Z",
"competitive": 0.8767123287671234,
"volume24hr": 12681.795287,
"volume1wk": 36702.84874100001,
"volume1mo": 78140.53132399997,
"volume1yr": 95661.03278999992,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 19392.6571,
"commentCount": 6,
"markets": [
{
"id": "920401",
"question": "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68",
"slug": "will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-before-2027",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "19392.6571",
"startDate": "2025-12-12T18:29:58.307889Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-in-2025-CLPiPg-n08y-.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-in-2025-CLPiPg-n08y-.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.\n\nA qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.875\", \"0.125\"]",
"volume": "95661.03278999978",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-12T16:43:14.540871Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-22T17:34:04.491772Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0x35e86cac534ef1e4df600d3e6540c8d19864bb31545c4498685eb51e5b04d8f1",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 95661.03278999978,
"liquidityNum": 19392.6571,
"endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-12",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 12681.795287,
"volume1wk": 36702.84874100001,
"volume1mo": 78140.53132399997,
"volume1yr": 95661.03278999992,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"35608595602971585131748334524997534059288005974951964270070510209825391272871\", \"86136836547770521111743494575582395458930966240091848908759010720929112549108\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 12681.795287,
"volume1wkClob": 36702.84874100001,
"volume1moClob": 78140.53132399997,
"volume1yrClob": 95661.03278999992,
"volumeClob": 95661.03278999978,
"liquidityClob": 19392.6571,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-12T18:29:35Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8767123287671234,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "88514",
"conditionId": "0x7209592f294c2b3a7230ea66a4483ecfe1a57ae79144e5e735654829e00cfc68",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-02-27",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.085,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.04,
"lastTradePrice": 0.87,
"bestBid": 0.87,
"bestAsk": 0.88,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-12T18:27:13.92781Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1097",
"label": "Apple",
"slug": "apple",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:41:32.179+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:41:32.185Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.830492Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.532137Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.73488Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Persistent supply chain reports and analyst forecasts pinpointing a late 2026 foldable iPhone launch drive the 83.5% yes probability, reflecting trader consensus on Apple overcoming display crease challenges before 2027. Ming-Chi Kuo's recent update cites Samsung Display ramping up production of under-panel camera tech for 7.75-8-inch panels, aligning with Apple's patent filings for hybrid folding mechanisms. While no official announcement exists, competitive pressure from Samsung's Galaxy Z series and Google's Pixel Fold, plus Apple's foldable iPad prototype testing, bolsters optimism. Key risks include yield issues delaying shipments, but historical precedent favors resolution by Q4 2026, with WWDC 2025 as a potential reveal catalyst.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-03-22T17:12:53.723Z"
}
}- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Vol 95.7KLiq 19.4KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book