Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

Ticker

will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026

Volume

356.0K

24h volume

68

1w volume

3.0K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

30.4K

Liquidity CLOB

30.4K

Start

Dec 30, 2025

End

Jan 1, 2027

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 30, 2025

Event ID

133707

Slug

will-bitcoin-outperform-gold-in-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?",
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  "startDate": "2025-12-30T20:57:35.962318Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-30T20:57:35.962314Z",
  "endDate": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
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    {
      "id": "1068346",
      "question": "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.\n\nIf the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.",
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  "tags": [
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