Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027

Volume

9.1M

24h volume

55.0K

1w volume

426.7K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

577.9K

Liquidity CLOB

577.9K

Start

Jul 24, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 24, 2025

Event ID

34044

Slug

will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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