
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027
Volume
9.1M
24h volume
55.0K
1w volume
426.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
577.9K
Liquidity CLOB
577.9K
Start
Jul 24, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 24, 2025
Event ID
34044
Slug
will-china-invade-taiwan-before-2027
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Vol 9.1MLiq 577.9KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book