
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2026
Volume
702.6K
24h volume
2.0K
1w volume
46.1K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
60.4K
Liquidity CLOB
60.4K
Start
Dec 17, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 17, 2025
Event ID
107726
Slug
will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2026
Markets
1
Raw event data
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}- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Vol 702.6KLiq 60.4KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book