Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.

Ticker

will-clavicular-cry-on-stream-by-may-1-2026

Volume

9.2K

24h volume

1.1K

1w volume

2.6K

Open interest

3.6K

Liquidity

1.6K

Liquidity CLOB

1.6K

Start

Mar 10, 2026

End

May 1, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 10, 2026

Event ID

259298

Slug

will-clavicular-cry-on-stream-by-may-1-2026

Markets

1

Raw event data
{
  "id": "259298",
  "ticker": "will-clavicular-cry-on-stream-by-may-1-2026",
  "slug": "will-clavicular-cry-on-stream-by-may-1-2026",
  "title": "Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.\n\n\n\n",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-10T23:23:24.825264Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-10T23:23:24.825262Z",
  "endDate": "2026-05-01T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/clavicular-edc4b3c77f.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/clavicular-edc4b3c77f.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 1614.6021,
  "volume": 9213.327072000002,
  "openInterest": 3572.310837,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-10T18:05:48.250282Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-25T01:59:26.398249Z",
  "competitive": 0.9577626664112633,
  "volume24hr": 1117.442182,
  "volume1wk": 2573.621378,
  "volume1mo": 9213.327072000004,
  "volume1yr": 9213.327072000004,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 1614.6021,
  "commentCount": 6,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1553301",
      "question": "Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026",
      "conditionId": "0x528d26b6e3db44d4d6c86f0205cb90790854d3c0e862df4ede24a075341b53f6",
      "slug": "will-clavicular-cry-on-stream-by-may-1-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-05-01T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1914.4021",
      "startDate": "2026-03-10T23:21:54.748065Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/clavicular-edc4b3c77f.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/clavicular-edc4b3c77f.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.\n\n\n\n",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.29\", \"0.71\"]",
      "volume": "9213.327072000002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-10T18:05:49.194892Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-25T01:58:56.215586Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x0fa721716cfca73f26ed7b684a98f82a96a18ecbd25daa7e426cefbc064008c4",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 9213.327072000002,
      "liquidityNum": 1914.4021,
      "endDateIso": "2026-05-01",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-10",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1117.442182,
      "volume1wk": 2573.621378,
      "volume1mo": 9213.327072000004,
      "volume1yr": 9213.327072000004,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"34419412847794205378171143535724359860345547409449611180870774059217829490448\", \"59573540203895377072630894023202276216558809725741252252035439066582420393439\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1117.442182,
      "volume1wkClob": 2573.621378,
      "volume1moClob": 9213.327072000004,
      "volume1yrClob": 9213.327072000004,
      "volumeClob": 9213.327072000002,
      "liquidityClob": 1914.4021,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-10T23:20:49Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9577626664112633,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "clobRewards": [
        {
          "id": "111252",
          "conditionId": "0x528d26b6e3db44d4d6c86f0205cb90790854d3c0e862df4ede24a075341b53f6",
          "assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
          "rewardsAmount": 0,
          "rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
          "startDate": "2026-03-23",
          "endDate": "2500-12-31"
        }
      ],
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.04,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.29,
      "bestBid": 0.27,
      "bestAsk": 0.31,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-10T23:19:35.169107Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "64",
      "label": "Esports",
      "slug": "esports",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:31.924+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:31.93Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:42.468146Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "286",
      "label": "Celebrities",
      "slug": "celebrities",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:48.368+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:48.383Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:41.363303Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "596",
      "label": "Culture",
      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader sentiment favoring \"No\" at 71.5% implied probability stems primarily from the extended timeline to May 1, 2026, diluting the likelihood of a spontaneous emotional breakdown on stream amid Clavicular's consistent recent form—steady content output without notable meltdowns or personal crises reported in official updates or beat coverage. Absent any confirmed \"injuries\" like mental health disclosures or high-stakes \"matchups\" such as major tournament losses, the wisdom of crowds reflects historical resilience, where similar streamers maintain composure under pressure. Momentum from routine streams and lack of rivalry-fueled drama further justify skepticism, though upsets remain possible in unpredictable entertainment dynamics.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-25T01:20:20.500Z"
  }
}