Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that explicitly seeks to create a tariff on any country or set of countries for any goods by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A bill, measure or resolution will be considered to “seek to create a tariff” if it explicitly calls for or orders the imposition of any import tax or duty on any category of goods from any country or region. Category-specific tariffs, general tariffs on countries, or blanket global tariffs will all qualify. The delegation of tariff powers to other government authorities (e.g. the President) without calling for specific tariffs to be imposed, trade restrictions which do not impose an import tax or duty, or tariffs imposed under existing executive authority without new passage by both chambers of Congress will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution source will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-congress-pass-any-tariffs-by-march-31

Volume

9.4K

24h volume

499

1w volume

2.9K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

6.0K

Liquidity CLOB

6.0K

Start

Feb 20, 2026

End

Mar 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Feb 20, 2026

Event ID

219547

Slug

will-congress-pass-any-tariffs-by-march-31

Markets

1

Tags

EconomyTrumpSCOTUSTrade WarCongressPoliticsSenatehouseTariffs
Raw event data
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