Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors \"No\" at 89% implied probability for Gustavo Petro facing US charges by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any official US Justice Department actions, indictments, or investigations targeting the Colombian president. Recent developments center on his son Nicolás Petro's August 2024 conviction in Colombia for campaign-related money laundering, a domestic matter with no evident US nexus or extradition push. Petro's past scandals, including a 2023 incident involving suspicious white powder on his plane, prompted brief scrutiny but yielded no federal charges. With no primary announcements from US authorities and diplomatic frictions limited to sanctions on Petro aides, traders see negligible risk of escalation before the deadline.",
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