Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31

Volume

309.1K

24h volume

1.6K

1w volume

10.1K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

1.2K

Liquidity CLOB

1.2K

Start

Jul 23, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2025

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Jul 23, 2025

Event ID

33685

Slug

will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31

Markets

2

Raw event data
{
  "id": "33685",
  "ticker": "will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31",
  "slug": "will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31",
  "title": "Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-07-23T03:25:41.950254Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-07-23T03:25:41.950251Z",
  "endDate": "2025-12-31T22:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31-yEU02s8Sw-7R.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31-yEU02s8Sw-7R.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 1215.41798,
  "volume": 309109.17955,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdBy": "1522789",
  "createdAt": "2025-07-22T20:13:27.644062Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:04:00.263056Z",
  "competitive": 0.8877996573537222,
  "volume24hr": 1585.8371750000001,
  "volume1wk": 10088.274651,
  "volume1mo": 68225.11612399998,
  "volume1yr": 309109.1795499999,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 1215.41798,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 44,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "566718",
      "question": "Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?",
      "conditionId": "0x2df955419b2d5f61410a89143811ecda534498e5fa2f4338736c398691d06c8d",
      "slug": "will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2025-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2025-07-23T03:21:45.461014Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31-yEU02s8Sw-7R.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31-yEU02s8Sw-7R.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "250252.573586",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "0x5cDa919C39756749Ee4917542775FF0b2d793313",
      "createdAt": "2025-07-22T20:13:29.097928Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:46:36.375725Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-01-01 10:31:37+00",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x157Ce2d672854c848c9b79C49a8Cc6cc89176a49",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x9ec537324da4d4b292f0c3b208f6d10e17bd844e400d7143e3d48b936e49f011",
      "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T10:31:37Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 250252.573586,
      "endDateIso": "2025-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-07-23",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume1wk": 3233.7765,
      "volume1mo": 13268.899136000004,
      "volume1yr": 250252.5735859999,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"15392404587993691805462710353059100845405341810586663159649903272350144409507\", \"7271921038292423789933467251946782903803237847549182648376416743684685613090\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume1wkClob": 3233.7765,
      "volume1moClob": 13268.899136000004,
      "volume1yrClob": 250252.5735859999,
      "volumeClob": 250252.573586,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-07-23T03:21:23Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.002,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0165,
      "lastTradePrice": 1,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-07-23T03:20:53.163634Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "700881",
      "question": "Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?",
      "conditionId": "0x251b46a4b02dd818bcaf26d5f84d3020d677428a66da715237c7bb764291b8bd",
      "slug": "will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-june-30",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T22:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1215.41798",
      "startDate": "2025-11-24T20:38:12.814201Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31-yEU02s8Sw-7R.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31-yEU02s8Sw-7R.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAnnexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.\n\nQualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.1445\", \"0.8555\"]",
      "volume": "58856.605964",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-24T16:19:48.038937Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:07:04.759628Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "June 30, 2026",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0x49839f78c4942388c77121e4bf9a72fab3ea3b84bb847f5abaf5750ac8f336ac",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 58856.605964,
      "liquidityNum": 1215.41798,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-24",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 1585.8371750000001,
      "volume1wk": 6854.498150999999,
      "volume1mo": 54956.21698799998,
      "volume1yr": 58856.60596399998,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"38202935615001386435763226841642069882440353941240309708546571086444674387617\", \"92947222300298952436254594182328137313823749893206387135431446187162878213717\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 1585.8371750000001,
      "volume1wkClob": 6854.498150999999,
      "volume1moClob": 54956.21698799998,
      "volume1yrClob": 58856.60596399998,
      "volumeClob": 58856.605964,
      "liquidityClob": 1215.41798,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-24T20:37:51Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8877996573537222,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.043,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0025,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.052,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.065,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.089,
      "bestBid": 0.123,
      "bestAsk": 0.166,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-24T20:37:22.614632Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "154",
      "label": "Middle East",
      "slug": "middle-east",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:13:00.1776Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "180",
      "label": "Israel",
      "slug": "israel",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:31:07.395Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:07:32.350064Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "366",
      "label": "world affairs",
      "slug": "world-affairs",
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 22:05:44.425+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T22:05:44.48Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:16:00.437912Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101970",
      "label": "World",
      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
      "createdAt": "2025-03-19T23:36:08.498099Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:04:41.800728Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false
}