Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iraqi soil or any Iraqi embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iraqi ground territory or any official Iraqi embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iraqi soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iraqi territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ticker

will-israel-strike-iraq-by-february-28

Volume

95.6K

24h volume

32.1K

1w volume

75.2K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

Start

Jan 31, 2026

End

Feb 28, 2026

Status

Closed

Access

Restricted

Created

Jan 31, 2026

Event ID

193899

Slug

will-israel-strike-iraq-by-february-28

Markets

1

Raw event data
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