Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

{
  "id": "261947",
  "ticker": "will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026",
  "slug": "will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026",
  "title": "Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2026-03-11T23:37:21.033248Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-11T23:37:21.033246Z",
  "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026-DwmH76mhcWqM.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026-DwmH76mhcWqM.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 7959.5293,
  "volume": 9476.771706,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-11T23:31:16.414245Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-18T23:10:17.437356Z",
  "competitive": 0.9044657998869418,
  "volume24hr": 420.965453,
  "volume1wk": 9476.771706,
  "volume1mo": 9476.771706,
  "volume1yr": 9476.771706,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 7959.5293,
  "commentCount": 7,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "1562758",
      "question": "Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x20bcdd8a07d8d64a99d4ac5b66d273dfb82728d76e8035c56909382fda38a8d7",
      "slug": "will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "7959.5293",
      "startDate": "2026-03-11T23:35:31.270462Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026-DwmH76mhcWqM.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026-DwmH76mhcWqM.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",
      "volume": "9476.771706",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-03-11T23:31:17.854205Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-18T23:09:35.797427Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0xd9e2a8e1ce1389ffe10e60e0bbc611db69c8faffcc4ff1a06e3f58becf26538f",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 9476.771706,
      "liquidityNum": 7959.5293,
      "endDateIso": "2026-12-31",
      "startDateIso": "2026-03-11",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 420.965453,
      "volume1wk": 9476.771706,
      "volume1mo": 9476.771706,
      "volume1yr": 9476.771706,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"13689017853349712618349887742505513435788993164757479111729652813078758578162\", \"61938167801018408800410780995395826694656774746782333399453391858135021936613\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 420.965453,
      "volume1wkClob": 9476.771706,
      "volume1moClob": 9476.771706,
      "volume1yrClob": 9476.771706,
      "volumeClob": 9476.771706,
      "liquidityClob": 7959.5293,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-11T23:34:25Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.9044657998869418,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.07,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.2,
      "bestBid": 0.14,
      "bestAsk": 0.21,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-11T23:33:13.148998Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "683",
      "label": "Boxing",
      "slug": "boxing",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-12-08 21:19:42.815+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-12-08T21:19:42.83Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:21:01.754503Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "101258",
      "label": "Jake Paul",
      "slug": "jake-paul",
      "createdAt": "2024-11-13T17:30:35.790625Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:24:22.405754Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "126",
      "label": "Trump",
      "slug": "trump",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:23:16.384+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:23:16.39Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:01.330974Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": true,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false,
  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Jake Paul's lack of any official statements, campaign filings, or political organizing signals no intent for a 2026 public office run, anchoring trader consensus at 82.5% odds on \"No.\" The influencer-boxer has occasionally joked about presidential ambitions dating back to 2022 social media posts, but recent activity centers on his high-profile boxing career, including the November 2024 Mike Tyson bout and potential rematches, alongside business ventures like his energy drink brand. While Paul endorsed Donald Trump and testified before Congress on MMA regulations in 2023, these do not indicate personal candidacy plans. Absent concrete developments like exploratory committees or endorsements, markets price in continued focus on entertainment over elective office.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-18T22:11:13.395Z"
  }
}