Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ticker

will-neymar-play-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-for-brazil

Volume

11.2K

24h volume

8.7K

1w volume

11.2K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

5.5K

Liquidity CLOB

5.5K

Start

Mar 17, 2026

End

Jul 19, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 17, 2026

Event ID

280375

Slug

will-neymar-play-in-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-for-brazil

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?",
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  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "100272",
      "label": "neymar",
      "slug": "neymar",
      "createdAt": "2024-06-19T19:41:47.553957Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:22.61258Z",
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      "slug": "sports",
      "forceShow": false,
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      "slug": "world",
      "forceShow": false,
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      "slug": "pop-culture",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Neymar's extensive injury history stands as the dominant factor fueling the 59% implied probability on \"No\" for his participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting trader consensus on his fitness risks at age 34. A devastating ACL tear in October 2023 sidelined him for nearly a year, with a brief October 2024 comeback for Al-Hilal marred by a subsequent hamstring strain that limited him to just 78 minutes across three appearances. Brazil's CONMEBOL qualifiers demand peak condition amid a grueling schedule, yet official reports confirm no recent national team call-ups due to ongoing recovery. While his skill remains elite, chronic soft-tissue issues and the 18-month timeline to the tournament underpin the market's skepticism over sustained availability.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-19T00:15:50.914Z"
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