Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Ticker

will-olivia-rodrigo-release-a-new-original-album-by-august-31

Volume

107

24h volume

107

1w volume

107

Open interest

0

Liquidity

663

Liquidity CLOB

663

Start

Mar 18, 2026

End

Aug 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 18, 2026

Event ID

283618

Slug

will-olivia-rodrigo-release-a-new-original-album-by-august-31

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?",
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  "startDate": "2026-03-18T21:14:11.005461Z",
  "creationDate": "2026-03-18T21:14:11.005457Z",
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      "startDateIso": "2026-03-18",
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      "id": "104205",
      "label": "song",
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      "slug": "music",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:19:29.061+00",
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    "context_description": "Olivia Rodrigo's recent studio sessions and coy interview hints about \"new music coming sooner than you think\"—shared in a June 2024 Billboard feature—have driven the Yes implied probability to 76%, reflecting trader optimism for a surprise drop akin to her rapid Sour-to-GUTS cycle. With GUTS World Tour wrapping North America by late July but leaving a narrow window before August 31, fans and bettors cite her history of efficient production and massive streaming demand (GUTS debuted at No. 1 with 300M+ first-week streams) as key catalysts. No official announcement exists, underscoring the market's speculative edge amid unpredictable pop release schedules.",
    "context_requires_regen": true,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-19T06:30:35.275Z"
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