Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-roger-federer-play-at-wimbledon

Volume

63

24h volume

63

1w volume

63

Open interest

49

Liquidity

6.9K

Liquidity CLOB

6.9K

Start

Mar 26, 2026

End

Jul 13, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 26, 2026

Event ID

280841

Slug

will-roger-federer-play-at-wimbledon

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?",
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  "creationDate": "2026-03-26T15:05:37.233247Z",
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  "openInterest": 48.57158,
  "createdAt": "2026-03-17T21:11:16.600363Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-26T18:16:18.005008Z",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
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  "tags": [
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      "id": "101232",
      "label": "ATP",
      "slug": "atp",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:25:42.625224Z",
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    {
      "id": "100290",
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      "slug": "wimbledon",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.744365Z",
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    {
      "id": "104250",
      "label": "Federer",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Roger Federer's official retirement from professional tennis in September 2022, following three knee surgeries that sidelined him since Wimbledon 2021, drives the 93.5% implied probability traders assign to \"No\" for his participation in the grass-court Grand Slam. With no ATP comeback announcement, protected ranking expired, and direct entry deadlines passed months ago, his prolonged absence from rankings, practice footage, or exhibition matches reinforces market sentiment. At age 42, Federer's storied Wimbledon history—eight titles and dominant grass-court record—remains irrelevant absent an unprecedented wildcard or qualifier path, scenarios unseen in retiree returns. Recent lack of fitness updates or tour sightings cements trader consensus on non-participation.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-26T17:35:21.028Z"
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