Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Pokrovsk by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Pokrovsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If the territory of municipality is shade light grey, and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rih" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Once Russia captures the Pokrovsk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ixAs4fF8n8ccVeL17 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Ticker
will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-september-30
Volume
4.3M
24h volume
24.1K
1w volume
887.4K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
35.8K
Liquidity CLOB
35.8K
Start
Aug 21, 2025
End
Feb 28, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Aug 21, 2025
Event ID
38900
Slug
will-russia-capture-all-of-pokrovsk-by-september-30
Markets
10
Raw event data
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}- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Vol 239.6KLiq 27.0KEnd Sep 30, 2025OpenOrder book
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Vol 453.5KLiq 8.8KEnd Sep 30, 2025OpenOrder book
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Vol 1.5MLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Vol 1.3MLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?Vol 305.5KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?Vol 166.9KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?Vol 106.6KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?Vol 104.9KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?Vol 102.7KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?Vol 62.3KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed