
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Ticker
will-russia-capture-sumy-before-october
Volume
579.0K
24h volume
347
1w volume
74.7K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
70.7K
Liquidity CLOB
70.7K
Start
Jun 2, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jun 2, 2025
Event ID
25827
Slug
will-russia-capture-sumy-before-october
Markets
3
Raw event data
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}- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Vol 155.9KLiq 70.7KEnd Mar 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Vol 381.3KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed
- Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?Vol 41.9KLiq —End Sep 30, 2025Closed