Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first player selected in the 2026 NFL draft is a quarterback. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-the-1st-pick-in-the-2026-pro-football-draft-be-a-qb

Volume

9.2K

24h volume

378

1w volume

969

Open interest

2.9K

Liquidity

2.5K

Liquidity CLOB

2.5K

Start

Dec 23, 2025

End

Apr 23, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 23, 2025

Event ID

118196

Slug

will-the-1st-pick-in-the-2026-pro-football-draft-be-a-qb

Markets

1

Raw event data
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  "title": "Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? ",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first player selected in the 2026 NFL draft is a quarterback. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
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  "createdAt": "2025-12-23T00:03:12.264411Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-03-25T12:25:48.582798Z",
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    {
      "id": "102076",
      "label": "QB",
      "slug": "qb",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus heavily favors a quarterback going first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft at 95.9% implied probability, driven primarily by the draft class's exceptional QB depth featuring elite talents like Arch Manning, Quinn Ewers, Jalen Milroe, and Carson Beck, all projected as top-10 picks in early mocks from ESPN and The Athletic. Recent college performances, including Milroe's dynamic play and Beck's accuracy, reinforce this talent surge, outshining recent classes. Teams like the struggling Panthers or Giants, likely vying for the top selection amid rebuilds, have glaring QB needs post-Young and Jones experiments. Realistic wildcards include catastrophic injuries to top prospects or an uncharacteristically strong season from a bottom-feeder franchise, though historical trends favor QBs in such stacked classes.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-25T11:57:29.299Z"
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