Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

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    "context_description": "The U.S. Constitution mandates congressional elections every two years, with the 2026 midterms set for November 3 under federal law, anchoring trader consensus at 90% for occurring as scheduled. Historical precedent shows no national postponements since 1788, reinforcing this pricing amid low disruption risk. Recent developments, including post-2024 election transitions and routine Federal Election Commission preparations, reveal no official actions, legislative proposals, or court rulings to alter timelines. While partisan rhetoric occasionally speculates on irregularities, traders prioritize verifiable stability from election infrastructure and bipartisan oversight, viewing extraordinary delays as improbable absent a declared national emergency. Upcoming state-level certifications and primary scheduling further signal continuity.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-03-24T08:39:22.392Z"
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