Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

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    "context_description": "Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) post-2024 elections position Speaker Mike Johnson and Majority Leader John Thune to block impeachment articles against President-elect Trump before his January 2029 term ends, yet traders imply 66% odds on Yes amid fears of intra-party fractures over aggressive policies like mass deportations or Schedule F revivals. Recent catalysts include Matt Gaetz's withdrawn attorney general nomination amid ethics probes, Pete Hegseth's rocky defense secretary hearing, and dismissed federal cases against Trump that Democrats vow to probe via oversight. No formal articles have advanced, but January 2025 congressional organization could test GOP unity, reflecting trader bets on scandal risks in a polarized environment.",
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