Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.

Ticker

will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine

Volume

555.8K

24h volume

93

1w volume

80.3K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

5.4K

Liquidity CLOB

5.4K

Start

Oct 15, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2025

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Oct 15, 2025

Event ID

56992

Slug

will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine

Markets

4

Raw event data
{
  "id": "56992",
  "ticker": "will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine",
  "slug": "will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine",
  "title": "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-10-15T20:04:30.976611Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-10-15T20:04:30.976606Z",
  "endDate": "2025-12-31T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
  "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
  "active": true,
  "closed": false,
  "archived": false,
  "new": false,
  "featured": false,
  "restricted": true,
  "liquidity": 5439.97466,
  "volume": 555757.955042,
  "openInterest": 0,
  "createdAt": "2025-10-09T15:50:07.85676Z",
  "updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:01:53.540199Z",
  "competitive": 0.8155939940473872,
  "volume24hr": 92.92484,
  "volume1wk": 80277.283976,
  "volume1mo": 408104.9591069999,
  "volume1yr": 555757.9550419999,
  "enableOrderBook": true,
  "liquidityClob": 5439.97466,
  "negRisk": false,
  "commentCount": 36,
  "markets": [
    {
      "id": "638547",
      "question": "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?",
      "conditionId": "0x4a937f5db5c57600543afd2f3ca39f5ae53fa15911ee24fa2aae509ac8edc4d9",
      "slug": "will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-by-december-31-396",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2025-10-17T20:05:17.273Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "137702.564468",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-10-17T18:19:12.942866Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:43:29.847022Z",
      "closedTime": "2026-01-01 09:43:27+00",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "December 31",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0xf2a7093539adfd3a1046bffd047514361fe35de4dd9340c7df3515d355f1f567",
      "umaEndDate": "2026-01-01T09:43:27Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 137702.564468,
      "endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-10-17",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume1wk": 8380.477941,
      "volume1mo": 30955.395017,
      "volume1yr": 137702.56446799997,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"111272404878957648726379124907305297061530429841083687723751426668808753177055\", \"18709822809959647939922139310242465687806680610148347306589497055775700951558\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume1wkClob": 8380.477941,
      "volume1moClob": 30955.395017,
      "volume1yrClob": 137702.56446799997,
      "volumeClob": 137702.564468,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-17T20:04:56Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0025,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.001,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.004,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0395,
      "lastTradePrice": 1,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-17T20:04:25.94905Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "628688",
      "question": "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?",
      "conditionId": "0xdb6ee0278db8c3d686ff52f75258209ac4d5394b0c8cc2c643f0abdeaae6afff",
      "slug": "will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2025-10-15T20:00:10.806Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "318024.950643",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-10-09T15:50:08.890342Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:43:29.840078Z",
      "closedTime": "2025-11-01 06:10:12+00",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "October 31",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
      "questionID": "0x45b1884299fa4b8fc976d61303dd4c131e07d7c45b349da340f29112386fb1e2",
      "umaEndDate": "2025-11-01T06:10:12Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 318024.950643,
      "endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-10-15",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume1wk": 50403.02360300001,
      "volume1mo": 318024.9506429999,
      "volume1yr": 318024.9506429999,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"78055846727429632946296120533165119226172977686106284039320142437837704255600\", \"65031154699433216340718521605444397902164708691136917757153424958072209840300\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume1wkClob": 50403.02360300001,
      "volume1moClob": 318024.9506429999,
      "volume1yrClob": 318024.9506429999,
      "volumeClob": 318024.950643,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-15T19:59:49Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 100,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.005,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0255,
      "lastTradePrice": 1,
      "bestAsk": 0.005,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-15T19:59:22.2595Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "658012",
      "question": "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?",
      "conditionId": "0xd757680e9e73d40ffcd21f729d49394305e70ecca655a10f56ea17fd654a2d8e",
      "slug": "will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-by-november-30",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2025-10-31T00:00:00Z",
      "startDate": "2025-11-01T00:03:06.923818Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
      "volume": "44694.091976",
      "active": true,
      "closed": true,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-10-31T13:21:06.604831Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:43:29.922105Z",
      "closedTime": "2025-12-01 07:28:38+00",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "November 30",
      "groupItemThreshold": "1",
      "questionID": "0xe80bacfc852eac0eaf3b835e5997a59b13cf05cf700d9e69c964cffef5f426ca",
      "umaEndDate": "2025-12-01T07:28:38Z",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
      "volumeNum": 44694.091976,
      "endDateIso": "2025-10-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-01",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume1wk": 13305.784328000002,
      "volume1mo": 41223.646236,
      "volume1yr": 44694.091976,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"23020256690804205488816977348851521306394733441793758717696463538564341498262\", \"68754788455783331274089647312881784491953845536309344133843308252592963383180\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume1wkClob": 13305.784328000002,
      "volume1moClob": 41223.646236,
      "volume1yrClob": 44694.091976,
      "volumeClob": 44694.091976,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": false,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-01T00:02:44Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 0,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
      "spread": 0.001,
      "automaticallyResolved": true,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.006,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0255,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.4755,
      "lastTradePrice": 1,
      "bestAsk": 0.001,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-01T00:01:21.221783Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "677395",
      "question": "Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?",
      "conditionId": "0xf6ff802ee9633b0cedff0df668b27d6c65d3e2b5f187539fe17b3148f83c424d",
      "slug": "will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-by-march-31",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-03-31T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "5439.97466",
      "startDate": "2025-11-13T23:10:38.605869Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine-onXWEKjH8Oii.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0245\", \"0.9755\"]",
      "volume": "55336.347955",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-11-11T22:37:31.337853Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-22T09:03:27.569898Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "March 31, 2026",
      "groupItemThreshold": "3",
      "questionID": "0x319f5fc52c7507d86f5ea476601ec7c6ccf1fab6e931f3075dff3fcfa0561533",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 55336.347955,
      "liquidityNum": 5439.97466,
      "endDateIso": "2026-03-31",
      "startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 92.92484,
      "volume1wk": 8187.998104,
      "volume1mo": 17900.967211,
      "volume1yr": 55336.34795500001,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"42142546280438490392072310331176063673498358467738994102296654098186961111383\", \"84697661798911843314686927802713064377982171926143913065341578138990342150584\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 92.92484,
      "volume1wkClob": 8187.998104,
      "volume1moClob": 17900.967211,
      "volume1yrClob": 55336.34795500001,
      "volumeClob": 55336.347955,
      "liquidityClob": 5439.97466,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T23:10:16Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8155939940473872,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.015,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.004,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0055,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0205,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.025,
      "bestBid": 0.017,
      "bestAsk": 0.032,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T22:50:13.996785Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    {
      "id": "793",
      "label": "defense",
      "slug": "defense",
      "publishedAt": "2023-12-27 19:03:05.2+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-12-27T19:03:05.214Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:18:40.7788Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "2",
      "label": "Politics",
      "slug": "politics",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
      "updatedBy": 13,
      "createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:24:21.058056Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "96",
      "label": "Ukraine",
      "slug": "ukraine",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:18:49.922+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:18:49.94Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:21:20.91329Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "193",
      "label": "military",
      "slug": "military",
      "forceShow": false,
      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:33:18.939+00",
      "updatedBy": 15,
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:33:18.953Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:06:52.2617Z",
      "forceHide": true,
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "102664",
      "label": "Tomahawk",
      "slug": "tomahawk",
      "createdAt": "2025-10-09T15:50:08.369332Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:19:40.873084Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    },
    {
      "id": "100265",
      "label": "Geopolitics",
      "slug": "geopolitics",
      "forceShow": true,
      "createdAt": "2024-06-12T20:13:03.615956Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-02-06T20:10:12.806715Z",
      "requiresTranslation": false
    }
  ],
  "cyom": false,
  "showAllOutcomes": true,
  "showMarketImages": false,
  "enableNegRisk": false,
  "automaticallyActive": true,
  "gmpChartMode": "default",
  "negRiskAugmented": false,
  "cumulativeMarkets": false,
  "pendingDeployment": false,
  "deploying": false,
  "requiresTranslation": false
}