Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027

Volume

98.7K

24h volume

303

1w volume

5.4K

Open interest

0

Liquidity

21.7K

Liquidity CLOB

21.7K

Start

Nov 5, 2025

End

Dec 31, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Nov 5, 2025

Event ID

73196

Slug

will-us-withdraw-from-nato-before-2027

Markets

1

Raw event data
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