
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osaka
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market refers on the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Naomi Osaka in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 20 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Talia Gibson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
wta-gibson-osaka-2026-03-20
Volume
1.2K
24h volume
1.2K
1w volume
1.2K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
25.9K
Liquidity CLOB
25.9K
Start
Mar 19, 2026
End
Mar 27, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 20, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Event ID
286712
Slug
wta-gibson-osaka-2026-03-20
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"outcomes": "[\"Over\", \"Under\"]",
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"active": true,
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"context_description": "Naomi Osaka's superior experience and hard-court pedigree anchor her 64.5% implied probability against qualifier Talia Gibson in the Miami Open, where the four-time Grand Slam winner has historically dominated the event with a runner-up finish in 2018. Osaka enters on momentum from straight-set wins over Karolina Pliskova and Elise Mertens this tournament, showcasing sharpened serve and baseline power post-maternity return, while Gibson, ranked No. 132, grinded through three qualifying matches but lacks WTA main-draw success against top-50 foes. No head-to-head exists, but Osaka's 75% win rate on Miami hard courts versus Gibson's inexperience tilts trader consensus her way, though qualifiers often produce upsets if serves hold. Both players report no injuries per latest reports.",
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}- Gibson vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Vol 39Liq 276End Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Gibson vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5Vol —Liq 1.4KEnd Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Gibson vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Vol —Liq 227End Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Gibson vs. Osaka: Match O/U 22.5Vol —Liq 1.3KEnd Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)Vol —Liq 818End Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs OsakaVol —Liq 6.2KEnd Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Gibson vs. Osaka: Match O/U 23.5Vol —Liq 32End Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Talia Gibson vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Vol —Liq 3.5KEnd Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi OsakaVol 1.2KLiq 11.8KEnd Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book
- Gibson vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Vol —Liq 276End Mar 27, 2026OpenOrder book